35 replies to this topic

[Dejah]

I hope any of our members that are in the path of this storm Ivan stay safe.. and if you need to get away and make it to Dallas.. I always have room.

Dejah

[DandyDon]

I hope any of our members that are in the path of this storm Ivan stay safe.. and if you need to get away and make it to Dallas.. I always have room.

Dejah

Running from a huge hurricane often means hitting crowded hiways, traffic jams, car overheating and breaking down, becoming a sitting target for the storm and/or the crazy people.

Having always live on the High Desert, the only weather I've ever had to fear was the occasional tornado, and it you don't get a direct hit, you're fine. Storms cellars used to be common here, but not so much now. I came within 2 miles of an F5 in Lubbock years ago, before I appreciated that not all are the same. Too close.

I got the wind charts loaded in Non-Diving. Gave me a better understanding of how these big boys can knock out a wide swath, then only graze nearby areas. Here's a click: http://www.singlediv...?showtopic=2113

[nextariel]

May all of you in Ivan's way in LA, MS, AL, and FL stay safe and dry. I hope he fizzles before he hits land, but it doesn't look good. We have felt the 'breezes' from him that last two days. You are all more important than material things. Take Care!

[DandyDon]

NOAA history indicates that - when a big one moves inland with the momentum of Ivan, the biggest loses of life come from flooding.

Excerpting...

HURRICANE IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER  55
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 15 2004


SINCE IVAN IS SO LARGE AND INTENSE...IT IS EXPECTED TO BRING
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WELL INLAND...UP TO ABOUT 150 MILES ALONG ITS
TRACK.  NOTE THAT THE INLAND GUST FACTOR IS QUITE LARGE BECAUSE
HIGH MOMENTUM AIR...ALOFT...CAN BE BROUGHT TO THE SURFACE IN THE
CONVECTIVE CELLS.  LATER IN THE PERIOD...THE DYNAMICAL MODELS SHOW
THE FORWARD PROGRESS OF IVAN BEING BLOCKED.  THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST SHOWS IVAN STALLING NEAR THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
SLOWLY DISSIPATING IN THAT AREA.  OBVIOUSLY THIS COULD BE A MAJOR
FLOOD EVENT OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. IN THE COMING
DAYS.

Please beware and prepare inland, too.

Edited by DandyDon, 15 September 2004 - 11:30 PM.

[Mitch0129]

Well, Ivan is like Jason from Friday, the 13th, it will not die. It has reformed in the Gulf as a tropical storm and is headed towards Galveston. Hopefully, it will do anything more than dump a ton of rain on us.

The latest advisory ...

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 68
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2004

...TROPICAL STORM IVAN IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LOUISIANA
WESTWARD TO SARGENT TEXAS.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-ORGANIZED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THURSDAY BRINGING THE CENTER NEAR THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY IN
SQUALLS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN RUNNING .5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. IVAN WILL GENERATE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE THESE EXISTING WATER LEVELS.
THEREFORE... WATER ELEVATIONS OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE PATH OF IVAN.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.4 N... 90.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.

[Sunchaser]

This is a geat link to radar images of the Caribbean and any new updates for Hurricanes in any area of interest.

http://www.PalmBeachPost.com/storm